From the second half of 2010, the price of pork soared and was rated by the outside world as a Chinese price indicator. After the government introduced relevant policies to increase the subsidy for live pig production, pork prices have finally “held live†and fell back to early July.
The reporter found out through investigation that the live pig production situation in Shanxi Province has discovered that since 2000, the price of live pigs in Shanxi experienced the same three major fluctuations as in the country. For 10 years, pig farmers have been riding a roller coaster, saying that “raising pigs is like buying stocksâ€.
On the 31st, the reporter learned from the Shanxi Provincial Bureau of Statistics that at present, the number of live pigs in Shanxi is basically the same as the same period of last year. The sign of the price hike in pork prices has begun to appear. It is expected that pork prices will still fluctuate at high levels in the fourth quarter of 2011, and pig production will still face difficulties. .
The pig market changed to “a bull market†and “a pig is like buying a stockâ€
From raising cattle to raising pigs, Dong Helin got into the "helicopter" of pork prices to make a big profit, saying that "raising pigs is like buying stocks."
Dong Helin is an ordinary farmer in Qingxu County, Taiyuan City, Shanxi Province. He has been breeding beef cattle for more than a decade. In May 2010, Dong Helin learned that the surrounding villages are massing sows on a large scale, slaughtering more than 50 heads per day, and this clearance-style slaughter has lasted for nearly a month.
The reason is that the price of live pigs in Shanxi Province has been sluggish since the second half of 2008. In April 2010, the average live pig price was only 9.1 yuan per kilogram, and there was no interest in 150 yuan per piglet. Seeing that they can only consume more and lose money, farmers have to reluctantly slaughter.
Dong Helin immediately realized that the large reduction in sows was a direct indication of the bottom price of pigs. So the old Dong made an immediate decision, resolutely sold the family of 50 beef cattle, switch to the line as a "pigeon."
Facts have proved that Dong Helin's judgment is correct. From June 2010, hog prices have entered a rising period. Dong Helin purchased 291 heads of 10 kg piglets at a price of 280 yuan per head. By the end of December, the average daily pig price in Shanxi Province had risen to 13.7 yuan/kg, which was a 41.9% increase from June. However, due to his poor pig breeds and lack of management experience, 106 were killed, but Lao Dong still earned nearly 50,000 yuan.
Dong Helin purchased 266 high-quality pigs from the regular farms for the second time, and the number of survived was 255. At this time, the price of 15 kg of piglets has risen to 400 yuan/head. By the time of slaughter in February 2011, the average live pig price has reached 14.5 yuan/kg, up by 16.0% from 4 months ago, and Dong Helin made a net profit of 140,000 yuan.
After the Spring Festival in 2011, Dong Helin expanded three pig houses and bought 497 piglets three times at the end of April. At this time, the price of piglets rose by another 100 yuan to 500 yuan per head. Slaughtered 250 in mid-September, the gross price of pigs has risen to 19.8 yuan/kg, up by 35.6% from 7 months ago, and Dong Helin has recorded nearly 200,000 yuan.
However, in the face of the current hot market for pigs, Dong Helin is not worried when counting the money. In July this year, a 20 kg piglet has risen to 830 yuan/head, raising the cost of breeding. If you choose a large amount of supplements, you may not be catching up with the price drop when you slaughter. Dong Helin said he did not dare to take this risk.
The country's pork prices have stopped rising Signs of a clear correction in Shanxi Province Dong Helin's concerns are not without reason. Since the beginning of this year, the price of pork that has been above and beyond the market has continued to decline slightly across the country since October 1. Some media reports have reported that many pig farmers have experienced a sell-off.
According to the Xinhua News Agency’s national agricultural and sideline products and agricultural materials price system monitoring, after the National Day holiday, the national pork price has continued to decline, and the deceleration has accelerated somewhat in recent days. Compared with October 1, on October 27th, the prices of pig-toed pork and pork belly decreased by 2.8% and 2.9%, respectively, both of which fell to the level of early July.
Statistics from the Statistics Bureau of Shanxi Province show that in the first three quarters of this year, as in the case of the whole country, Shanxi has entered a period of rapid increase in the price of live pigs, which has become a major factor driving the rise of CPI. To this end, the State Council and the Shanxi Provincial Government have successively issued relevant policies to continue to increase subsidies for live pig production, effectively strengthen the prevention and control of live pig diseases, strengthen credit and insurance support, and strengthen the control and supervision of the live pig market, and promote the steady and healthy development of live pigs.
By the end of September, although the hog prices in Shanxi province were still high, the signs of a correction have already begun.
Statistics show that the average daily price of Shanxi Province in June reached 18.28 yuan/kg, exceeding the historical highest level of 17.44 yuan/kg in February 2008, and hitting a new record high in July, reaching 19.43 yuan/kg. In September, affected by the festival factors of the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day, the price of live pigs stopped falling, but it was still operating at a high level. The average daily price was 19.41 yuan/kg. The price of farmers selling piglets also went back from 28.7 yuan/kg in July to 26.9 yuan/kg in September.
According to the Shanxi Provincial Bureau of Statistics, considering comprehensive analysis of factors such as live pig population, production success, and production costs, the Bureau believes that pig prices in the province will continue to fluctuate at high levels in the absence of major epidemics and natural disasters. There is a slight possibility of a fall, but the probability of a substantial drop is small.
The increase in the cost of pork in the three major fluctuations in pork prices in 10 years is the main reason for the increase. The reporter from the Rural Department of the Bureau of Statistics of Shanxi Province told the reporter of the China New Network that in the past 10 years, pig farmers have been riding roller coasters, and have struggled to make big profits and losses. Market game. Since 2000, the price of live pigs in Shanxi has also experienced three major fluctuations as in the country, with a volatility cycle of approximately 3-5 years.
The first wave was affected by the SARS epidemic. It began to rebound significantly from the end of 2003 and continued until the second half of 2004. The second wave was affected by the outbreak of acute high-priority blue ear disease in the second half of 2006. Since the beginning of 2007, prices have risen. By February 2008, the average daily price has reached the highest level of 17.44 yuan/kg. The third wave is affected by factors such as insufficient supply and rising costs. Since June 2009, the current round of price volatility began. By July 2011, the average daily price reached 19.43 yuan/kg, a record high.
According to the Consumer Price Survey Office of the Shanxi Bureau of Investigation of the National Bureau of Statistics, the rise in feed prices is the main reason for the increase in pork prices. From the perspective of pig feed, Jincheng City Zezhou County pig mixed feed 3,400 yuan / ton, up 6.25% over the same period last year, wheat bran 1,700 yuan / ton, up 18.06% over the same period last year, corn 2,100 yuan / ton, up from the same period last year 7.14%.
The survey found that the substantial increase in labor costs and the rise in the cost of medical epidemic prevention have further increased the production costs of pig farmers. It is understood that the cost of hiring workers in pork wholesalers in Datong City has increased. The wages for each manpower last year were 1,600 yuan/person/month, and this year was 2,000 yuan/person/month, up by 25%.
In addition, as the price of pork fluctuates greatly, the production of the pig breeding industry is prone to ups and downs, which has a serious impact on the pork production. In this case, the imbalance between supply and demand can easily lead to fluctuations in pork prices.
The pig production still faces constraints. The government needs to take multiple measures simultaneously Shanxi Provincial Bureau of Statistics told reporters that although Shanxi's hog production situation has improved, it still faces outstanding problems such as the low level of scale production. It is recommended that the government accelerate the development of leading enterprises. The "transmission mechanism" and "magnification effect" will be brought into play to promote the sustainable and healthy development of pig production in Shanxi.
Through the analysis of livestock and poultry inventory data in 2010, it can be found that Shanxi is constrained by factors such as large proportion of mountainous areas, underdeveloped economy, and decentralization of population. As of the end of 2010, pig farmers with more than 100 stocks accounted for only about 3% of the total number of breeding households. , far lower than the national scale of pig farmers (annual slaughter 500) accounted for about 34% of the average level. The low level of scale production means that the free-living households still have a higher proportion in the pig production in Shanxi. The random nature of the production of free-living households is very unfavorable to the steady and healthy development of live pig production.
According to the survey, the breed breeding system of Shanxi is very fragile. So far, there is still no large original breeding farm. Shanxi pigs mainly depend on other provinces. If the supply of pigs from other provinces is tight, it will inevitably cause a shortage of Shanxi pigs. In addition, frequent seasonings will also make the pig diseases in other provinces into Shanxi.
In response to the above-mentioned problems in pig production, Shanxi Provincial Bureau of Statistics recommends that Shanxi must take measures to expand the scale of production of live pigs, speed up the construction of breeding farms, implement the policy of ensuring good sow breeding, strengthen the prevention and control of live pig diseases, and improve livestock and poultry products. Processing capacity.
The reporter found out through investigation that the live pig production situation in Shanxi Province has discovered that since 2000, the price of live pigs in Shanxi experienced the same three major fluctuations as in the country. For 10 years, pig farmers have been riding a roller coaster, saying that “raising pigs is like buying stocksâ€.
On the 31st, the reporter learned from the Shanxi Provincial Bureau of Statistics that at present, the number of live pigs in Shanxi is basically the same as the same period of last year. The sign of the price hike in pork prices has begun to appear. It is expected that pork prices will still fluctuate at high levels in the fourth quarter of 2011, and pig production will still face difficulties. .
The pig market changed to “a bull market†and “a pig is like buying a stockâ€
From raising cattle to raising pigs, Dong Helin got into the "helicopter" of pork prices to make a big profit, saying that "raising pigs is like buying stocks."
Dong Helin is an ordinary farmer in Qingxu County, Taiyuan City, Shanxi Province. He has been breeding beef cattle for more than a decade. In May 2010, Dong Helin learned that the surrounding villages are massing sows on a large scale, slaughtering more than 50 heads per day, and this clearance-style slaughter has lasted for nearly a month.
The reason is that the price of live pigs in Shanxi Province has been sluggish since the second half of 2008. In April 2010, the average live pig price was only 9.1 yuan per kilogram, and there was no interest in 150 yuan per piglet. Seeing that they can only consume more and lose money, farmers have to reluctantly slaughter.
Dong Helin immediately realized that the large reduction in sows was a direct indication of the bottom price of pigs. So the old Dong made an immediate decision, resolutely sold the family of 50 beef cattle, switch to the line as a "pigeon."
Facts have proved that Dong Helin's judgment is correct. From June 2010, hog prices have entered a rising period. Dong Helin purchased 291 heads of 10 kg piglets at a price of 280 yuan per head. By the end of December, the average daily pig price in Shanxi Province had risen to 13.7 yuan/kg, which was a 41.9% increase from June. However, due to his poor pig breeds and lack of management experience, 106 were killed, but Lao Dong still earned nearly 50,000 yuan.
Dong Helin purchased 266 high-quality pigs from the regular farms for the second time, and the number of survived was 255. At this time, the price of 15 kg of piglets has risen to 400 yuan/head. By the time of slaughter in February 2011, the average live pig price has reached 14.5 yuan/kg, up by 16.0% from 4 months ago, and Dong Helin made a net profit of 140,000 yuan.
After the Spring Festival in 2011, Dong Helin expanded three pig houses and bought 497 piglets three times at the end of April. At this time, the price of piglets rose by another 100 yuan to 500 yuan per head. Slaughtered 250 in mid-September, the gross price of pigs has risen to 19.8 yuan/kg, up by 35.6% from 7 months ago, and Dong Helin has recorded nearly 200,000 yuan.
However, in the face of the current hot market for pigs, Dong Helin is not worried when counting the money. In July this year, a 20 kg piglet has risen to 830 yuan/head, raising the cost of breeding. If you choose a large amount of supplements, you may not be catching up with the price drop when you slaughter. Dong Helin said he did not dare to take this risk.
The country's pork prices have stopped rising Signs of a clear correction in Shanxi Province Dong Helin's concerns are not without reason. Since the beginning of this year, the price of pork that has been above and beyond the market has continued to decline slightly across the country since October 1. Some media reports have reported that many pig farmers have experienced a sell-off.
According to the Xinhua News Agency’s national agricultural and sideline products and agricultural materials price system monitoring, after the National Day holiday, the national pork price has continued to decline, and the deceleration has accelerated somewhat in recent days. Compared with October 1, on October 27th, the prices of pig-toed pork and pork belly decreased by 2.8% and 2.9%, respectively, both of which fell to the level of early July.
Statistics from the Statistics Bureau of Shanxi Province show that in the first three quarters of this year, as in the case of the whole country, Shanxi has entered a period of rapid increase in the price of live pigs, which has become a major factor driving the rise of CPI. To this end, the State Council and the Shanxi Provincial Government have successively issued relevant policies to continue to increase subsidies for live pig production, effectively strengthen the prevention and control of live pig diseases, strengthen credit and insurance support, and strengthen the control and supervision of the live pig market, and promote the steady and healthy development of live pigs.
By the end of September, although the hog prices in Shanxi province were still high, the signs of a correction have already begun.
Statistics show that the average daily price of Shanxi Province in June reached 18.28 yuan/kg, exceeding the historical highest level of 17.44 yuan/kg in February 2008, and hitting a new record high in July, reaching 19.43 yuan/kg. In September, affected by the festival factors of the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day, the price of live pigs stopped falling, but it was still operating at a high level. The average daily price was 19.41 yuan/kg. The price of farmers selling piglets also went back from 28.7 yuan/kg in July to 26.9 yuan/kg in September.
According to the Shanxi Provincial Bureau of Statistics, considering comprehensive analysis of factors such as live pig population, production success, and production costs, the Bureau believes that pig prices in the province will continue to fluctuate at high levels in the absence of major epidemics and natural disasters. There is a slight possibility of a fall, but the probability of a substantial drop is small.
The increase in the cost of pork in the three major fluctuations in pork prices in 10 years is the main reason for the increase. The reporter from the Rural Department of the Bureau of Statistics of Shanxi Province told the reporter of the China New Network that in the past 10 years, pig farmers have been riding roller coasters, and have struggled to make big profits and losses. Market game. Since 2000, the price of live pigs in Shanxi has also experienced three major fluctuations as in the country, with a volatility cycle of approximately 3-5 years.
The first wave was affected by the SARS epidemic. It began to rebound significantly from the end of 2003 and continued until the second half of 2004. The second wave was affected by the outbreak of acute high-priority blue ear disease in the second half of 2006. Since the beginning of 2007, prices have risen. By February 2008, the average daily price has reached the highest level of 17.44 yuan/kg. The third wave is affected by factors such as insufficient supply and rising costs. Since June 2009, the current round of price volatility began. By July 2011, the average daily price reached 19.43 yuan/kg, a record high.
According to the Consumer Price Survey Office of the Shanxi Bureau of Investigation of the National Bureau of Statistics, the rise in feed prices is the main reason for the increase in pork prices. From the perspective of pig feed, Jincheng City Zezhou County pig mixed feed 3,400 yuan / ton, up 6.25% over the same period last year, wheat bran 1,700 yuan / ton, up 18.06% over the same period last year, corn 2,100 yuan / ton, up from the same period last year 7.14%.
The survey found that the substantial increase in labor costs and the rise in the cost of medical epidemic prevention have further increased the production costs of pig farmers. It is understood that the cost of hiring workers in pork wholesalers in Datong City has increased. The wages for each manpower last year were 1,600 yuan/person/month, and this year was 2,000 yuan/person/month, up by 25%.
In addition, as the price of pork fluctuates greatly, the production of the pig breeding industry is prone to ups and downs, which has a serious impact on the pork production. In this case, the imbalance between supply and demand can easily lead to fluctuations in pork prices.
The pig production still faces constraints. The government needs to take multiple measures simultaneously Shanxi Provincial Bureau of Statistics told reporters that although Shanxi's hog production situation has improved, it still faces outstanding problems such as the low level of scale production. It is recommended that the government accelerate the development of leading enterprises. The "transmission mechanism" and "magnification effect" will be brought into play to promote the sustainable and healthy development of pig production in Shanxi.
Through the analysis of livestock and poultry inventory data in 2010, it can be found that Shanxi is constrained by factors such as large proportion of mountainous areas, underdeveloped economy, and decentralization of population. As of the end of 2010, pig farmers with more than 100 stocks accounted for only about 3% of the total number of breeding households. , far lower than the national scale of pig farmers (annual slaughter 500) accounted for about 34% of the average level. The low level of scale production means that the free-living households still have a higher proportion in the pig production in Shanxi. The random nature of the production of free-living households is very unfavorable to the steady and healthy development of live pig production.
According to the survey, the breed breeding system of Shanxi is very fragile. So far, there is still no large original breeding farm. Shanxi pigs mainly depend on other provinces. If the supply of pigs from other provinces is tight, it will inevitably cause a shortage of Shanxi pigs. In addition, frequent seasonings will also make the pig diseases in other provinces into Shanxi.
In response to the above-mentioned problems in pig production, Shanxi Provincial Bureau of Statistics recommends that Shanxi must take measures to expand the scale of production of live pigs, speed up the construction of breeding farms, implement the policy of ensuring good sow breeding, strengthen the prevention and control of live pig diseases, and improve livestock and poultry products. Processing capacity.
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