Since the Spring Festival this year, the pork price in the country has continued to decline due to factors such as sufficient supply of live pigs, off-season consumption, and imported pork impacts.
According to the food price data of 50 large and medium-sized cities released by the National Bureau of Statistics recently, the price of pork in mid-May decreased by 1% from the previous month. The wholesale price of live pigs in Xinjiang is higher than the average price in the country, and even live pigs have ranked first in the country for several consecutive days. On June 5, the wholesale price of live pigs in Xinjiang was 16.2 yuan per kilogram, while the national average price remained at more than 13 yuan per kilogram.
What are the factors driving the rise and fall of hog prices? During the industrial transition, what factors will dominate the future development direction of Xinjiang pig industry? At the “2012 Xinjiang Pork Industry Conference†held recently, the reporter interviewed Wang Lixian, professor of the Beijing Institute of Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Medicine, the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, a scientist of the national hog industry technical system, Professor Chen Yaosheng of the Zhongshan University, and a leader in Xinjiang pig industry. Tiankang Group Leader.
Changes in supply and demand are still the main cause of pork price fluctuations. As the price of pork in the country has been lowered and the price of pork in Xinjiang has risen in a contrarian direction, Chen Yaosheng, a scientist in the technical system of the national hog industry and a professor at Sun Yat-sen University, said that the current reduction in pork prices is mainly affected by the increase in supply. . The price of live pigs fell by nearly 20% year-on-year, and the year-on-year decline in pork prices was also close to 15%. Now that pork consumption has entered the off-season, there is no improvement in end-use demand; on the other hand, news of the recent import of pork continues to be seen in the media, Brazil, Poland, Chile, and the United Kingdom. Pork products in other countries have been allowed to enter the Chinese market one after another. The import volume of pork has increased significantly and is expected to affect the domestic market to a certain extent. The price of pork is unlikely to improve significantly in the short term. At the same time, the wholesale price of live pigs in Xinjiang is higher than the national average. From a large perspective, this is a supply and demand issue. Many outbreaks of pig production in the Mainland took place last year. The number of pigs slaughtered was reduced. Many pork from Xinjiang was transferred to the mainland, which is one of the reasons why pork prices in Xinjiang are currently relatively high. The pigs in Xinjiang were mainly transferred to Henan, Shaanxi, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Sichuan, Qinghai, Guangdong, Shandong, and Shanghai.
The development of large-scale farming, raising the risk of farmers' production The production cost, especially the cost of feeds, has been rising. Combined with the frequent outbreak of swine diseases, the risk of breeding has increased, which has become a major factor affecting the efficiency of pig breeding. Statistics from the China Live Hog Warning Network show that on May 23, the live pig slaughter price hit a new low of 13.31 yuan/kg during the year, and the price of corn and compounded materials rose by 8.1% and 9.5% year-on-year, which led to a decrease in breeding profit to 62 yuan/head. Industry sources said that since the end of February 2009, the price of corn has kept rising, and has now risen to 2.11 yuan per kilogram, reaching the highest level in history. The increase in breeding cost will drive the price of live pigs back up. From the profitability level of about 100 yuan for pig breeding, the current price of live pigs is at a normal and reasonable price, and this stage is precisely the best time for steady development of live pig production. From the perspective of maintaining a reasonable level of profit, if the cost of breeding does not change, it will be difficult for hog prices to return to previous price levels in the coming period.
Wang Lixian, professor of the Institute of Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Medicine at the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, said that if the profit drops or even loses, there will certainly be some peasant households with poor anti-risk ability to consider exiting. Some farmers in some provinces and cities in the Mainland would rather go out to work or do something else. Willing to raise pigs. Once this happens, the pig supply will fall.
As many farmers lamented, pig prices have become increasingly difficult to support while the prices of live pigs have repeatedly hit historical highs. How to solve the problems of low live pig survival rate, difficulty in preventing and controlling epidemics, and high cost? Wang Lixian believes that it is necessary to seize the opportunity to expand the scale of hog farming and adopt a scaled breeding strategy. For example, relying on the technological advantages and capital advantages of leading companies, we will increase our ability to resist risks. Through the promotion of large-scale farming, aquaculture companies are encouraged to actively obtain market information, actively recoup their inventory, improve their breeding efficiency, and effectively respond to market price fluctuations.
Seizing the opportunity of industrial transfer and innovating the breeding model Wang Lixian, a professor at the Beijing Institute of Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Medicine of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, said that the pig industry in China is shifting from south to west and north, and this is for pig farmers and farmers in Xinjiang. It is both an opportunity and a challenge. Land and pollution problems are important factors affecting the transfer of the swine industry.
Cheng Hui, general manager of Xinjiang Tiankang (Holdings) Group Co., Ltd., told reporters that in the future, it will be more and more difficult to raise pigs in the areas south of the Yangtze River. The development of the pig industry is shifting from south to north and pig production The pattern and structure of pig production will be accompanied by important changes in the transfer of industries. To this end, Tiankang Group has established a set of mutual benefit and benefit-sharing benefits for enterprises and farmers, which not only minimizes the risk of breeding farmers, but also enables farmers to focus more on farming techniques, thereby raising the level of farming. Increase breeding income.
At present, the Tiankang Group's “company + cooperative + farmer†industrialization model and large-scale breeding and other farming methods have accounted for more than 50% of total pig breeding in Xinjiang.
The data shows that in 2009, Xinjiang pigs slaughtered more than 6 million heads, nearly doubled in comparison with 2007, and more than 200,000 pigs entered markets in Sichuan, Shanghai, and Qinghai, realizing the import of pigs from Xinjiang. Provincial to regional transformation of export provinces. Since 2007, the Ministry of Finance of the autonomous region has allocated 10 million yuan each year to support the large-scale breeding of live pigs.
According to relevant officials from the Animal Husbandry Department of the Autonomous Region and the Agricultural Bureau of the BINGTUAN, with the gradual advancement of industrialization of pig production in Xinjiang, free-range pig farmers in Xinjiang will be gradually incorporated into large-scale farming in the next three to five years.
According to the food price data of 50 large and medium-sized cities released by the National Bureau of Statistics recently, the price of pork in mid-May decreased by 1% from the previous month. The wholesale price of live pigs in Xinjiang is higher than the average price in the country, and even live pigs have ranked first in the country for several consecutive days. On June 5, the wholesale price of live pigs in Xinjiang was 16.2 yuan per kilogram, while the national average price remained at more than 13 yuan per kilogram.
What are the factors driving the rise and fall of hog prices? During the industrial transition, what factors will dominate the future development direction of Xinjiang pig industry? At the “2012 Xinjiang Pork Industry Conference†held recently, the reporter interviewed Wang Lixian, professor of the Beijing Institute of Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Medicine, the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, a scientist of the national hog industry technical system, Professor Chen Yaosheng of the Zhongshan University, and a leader in Xinjiang pig industry. Tiankang Group Leader.
Changes in supply and demand are still the main cause of pork price fluctuations. As the price of pork in the country has been lowered and the price of pork in Xinjiang has risen in a contrarian direction, Chen Yaosheng, a scientist in the technical system of the national hog industry and a professor at Sun Yat-sen University, said that the current reduction in pork prices is mainly affected by the increase in supply. . The price of live pigs fell by nearly 20% year-on-year, and the year-on-year decline in pork prices was also close to 15%. Now that pork consumption has entered the off-season, there is no improvement in end-use demand; on the other hand, news of the recent import of pork continues to be seen in the media, Brazil, Poland, Chile, and the United Kingdom. Pork products in other countries have been allowed to enter the Chinese market one after another. The import volume of pork has increased significantly and is expected to affect the domestic market to a certain extent. The price of pork is unlikely to improve significantly in the short term. At the same time, the wholesale price of live pigs in Xinjiang is higher than the national average. From a large perspective, this is a supply and demand issue. Many outbreaks of pig production in the Mainland took place last year. The number of pigs slaughtered was reduced. Many pork from Xinjiang was transferred to the mainland, which is one of the reasons why pork prices in Xinjiang are currently relatively high. The pigs in Xinjiang were mainly transferred to Henan, Shaanxi, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Sichuan, Qinghai, Guangdong, Shandong, and Shanghai.
The development of large-scale farming, raising the risk of farmers' production The production cost, especially the cost of feeds, has been rising. Combined with the frequent outbreak of swine diseases, the risk of breeding has increased, which has become a major factor affecting the efficiency of pig breeding. Statistics from the China Live Hog Warning Network show that on May 23, the live pig slaughter price hit a new low of 13.31 yuan/kg during the year, and the price of corn and compounded materials rose by 8.1% and 9.5% year-on-year, which led to a decrease in breeding profit to 62 yuan/head. Industry sources said that since the end of February 2009, the price of corn has kept rising, and has now risen to 2.11 yuan per kilogram, reaching the highest level in history. The increase in breeding cost will drive the price of live pigs back up. From the profitability level of about 100 yuan for pig breeding, the current price of live pigs is at a normal and reasonable price, and this stage is precisely the best time for steady development of live pig production. From the perspective of maintaining a reasonable level of profit, if the cost of breeding does not change, it will be difficult for hog prices to return to previous price levels in the coming period.
Wang Lixian, professor of the Institute of Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Medicine at the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, said that if the profit drops or even loses, there will certainly be some peasant households with poor anti-risk ability to consider exiting. Some farmers in some provinces and cities in the Mainland would rather go out to work or do something else. Willing to raise pigs. Once this happens, the pig supply will fall.
As many farmers lamented, pig prices have become increasingly difficult to support while the prices of live pigs have repeatedly hit historical highs. How to solve the problems of low live pig survival rate, difficulty in preventing and controlling epidemics, and high cost? Wang Lixian believes that it is necessary to seize the opportunity to expand the scale of hog farming and adopt a scaled breeding strategy. For example, relying on the technological advantages and capital advantages of leading companies, we will increase our ability to resist risks. Through the promotion of large-scale farming, aquaculture companies are encouraged to actively obtain market information, actively recoup their inventory, improve their breeding efficiency, and effectively respond to market price fluctuations.
Seizing the opportunity of industrial transfer and innovating the breeding model Wang Lixian, a professor at the Beijing Institute of Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Medicine of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, said that the pig industry in China is shifting from south to west and north, and this is for pig farmers and farmers in Xinjiang. It is both an opportunity and a challenge. Land and pollution problems are important factors affecting the transfer of the swine industry.
Cheng Hui, general manager of Xinjiang Tiankang (Holdings) Group Co., Ltd., told reporters that in the future, it will be more and more difficult to raise pigs in the areas south of the Yangtze River. The development of the pig industry is shifting from south to north and pig production The pattern and structure of pig production will be accompanied by important changes in the transfer of industries. To this end, Tiankang Group has established a set of mutual benefit and benefit-sharing benefits for enterprises and farmers, which not only minimizes the risk of breeding farmers, but also enables farmers to focus more on farming techniques, thereby raising the level of farming. Increase breeding income.
At present, the Tiankang Group's “company + cooperative + farmer†industrialization model and large-scale breeding and other farming methods have accounted for more than 50% of total pig breeding in Xinjiang.
The data shows that in 2009, Xinjiang pigs slaughtered more than 6 million heads, nearly doubled in comparison with 2007, and more than 200,000 pigs entered markets in Sichuan, Shanghai, and Qinghai, realizing the import of pigs from Xinjiang. Provincial to regional transformation of export provinces. Since 2007, the Ministry of Finance of the autonomous region has allocated 10 million yuan each year to support the large-scale breeding of live pigs.
According to relevant officials from the Animal Husbandry Department of the Autonomous Region and the Agricultural Bureau of the BINGTUAN, with the gradual advancement of industrialization of pig production in Xinjiang, free-range pig farmers in Xinjiang will be gradually incorporated into large-scale farming in the next three to five years.
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